Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.027241 0.029345 0.031457 0.033734 0.036116 0.038531 0.041161
2025-11-23 0.023067 0.026349 0.029765 0.033573 0.037685 0.041979 0.046789
2025-11-30 0.020494 0.024449 0.028675 0.033498 0.038822 0.044492 0.050958
2025-12-07 0.018242 0.022625 0.027419 0.033003 0.039280 0.046075 0.053939
2025-12-14 0.016351 0.021029 0.026257 0.032459 0.039546 0.047325 0.056443
2025-12-21 0.014561 0.019412 0.024947 0.031630 0.039384 0.048006 0.058229
2025-12-28 0.013827 0.018973 0.024943 0.032252 0.040832 0.050468 0.061992
2026-01-04 0.012906 0.018244 0.024542 0.032360 0.041644 0.052171 0.064867
2026-01-11 0.011968 0.017433 0.023992 0.032243 0.042153 0.053496 0.067283
2026-01-18 0.011458 0.017123 0.024020 0.032796 0.043434 0.055702 0.070710
2026-01-25 0.010730 0.016492 0.023618 0.032794 0.044029 0.057087 0.073170
2026-02-01 0.010070 0.015913 0.023249 0.032806 0.044616 0.058447 0.075588
2026-02-08 0.009406 0.015325 0.022880 0.032848 0.045289 0.059975 0.078293
2026-02-15 0.008693 0.014640 0.022368 0.032700 0.045730 0.061236 0.080709
2026-02-22 0.008071 0.014042 0.021938 0.032626 0.046240 0.062564 0.083193
2026-03-01 0.007342 0.013249 0.021211 0.032139 0.046206 0.063212 0.084844
2026-03-08 0.006655 0.012474 0.020473 0.031605 0.046085 0.063732 0.086324
2026-03-15 0.005929 0.011593 0.019549 0.030790 0.045576 0.063749 0.087172
2026-03-22 0.005728 0.011495 0.019702 0.031402 0.046893 0.066027 0.090785
2026-03-29 0.005381 0.011148 0.019489 0.031507 0.047547 0.067474 0.093379
2026-04-05 0.004991 0.010710 0.019125 0.031393 0.047902 0.068540 0.095499
2026-04-12 0.004819 0.010612 0.019245 0.031936 0.049117 0.070689 0.098964
2026-04-19 0.004504 0.010260 0.018980 0.031935 0.049605 0.071916 0.101283